In the NFC South, Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield’s 2025 league MVP hype is becoming increasingly popular. With his 71.4% completion rate, 4,500 passing yards, and 41 touchdowns in 2024, Mayfield has proven that a comeback is possible after years of ups and downs.
This analysis by expert Bucky Brooks identifies Mayfield as a surprise MVP candidate, and here’s why Baker’s 2025 MVP could be the league’s next big story.
Context and probabilities
- Current odds: +4000.
- After winning their fifth consecutive NFC South title, the “underdog” narrative strengthens their candidacy.
- Backed by an elite receiving corps and a low-risk scheme put him in the conversation.
Key Statistics for 2024
| Metrics | Worth |
| Pass completion percentage | 71.4% |
| Air yards | 4,500 |
| Aerial touchdowns | 41 |
| Passer rating | 106.8 |
| Rushing yards | 378 |
| TD on the ground | 3 |
These numbers place him alongside the all-time greats (Brees, Burrow, Rodgers) with over 4,000 yards, 40 TDs, and +70% completion percentage in a single season.
Support and offensive anchoring
- Receivers: Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, both Pro Bowlers, offer security on medium and deep routes.
- Notable rookie: Emeka Egbuka, the top pick in the 2025 draft, adds explosion and versatility.
- Dynamic Backfield: Bucky Irving captures defenses’ attention, opening passing windows.
This offensive setup makes Mayfield a low-risk, high-yield quarterback, ideal for shining in the voting spotlight.
MVP scenario and comparisons
- The MVP award typically rewards a season and a division win. If the Bucs maintain their dominance, the award could go to their leader.
- Facing favorites (Mahomes, Allen, Hurts), the “fairytale comeback” narrative compels voters’ attention.
- Mayfield’s story of overcoming and consistency adds an emotional plus.
Conclusion: Dream or reality?
While the 2025 MVP award seems reserved for established superstars, Baker Mayfield’s case stirs up a hornet’s nest. With elite stats, a team on the rise, and a contract to back up his leadership, the former No. 1 overall pick could win the most coveted trophy if he maintains his 2024 form.
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