It was a rough week for my best bets last week after putting up my first losing record of 2-3. That puts me at 8-7 overall on the season. Now that I’m hovering near .500, I’m looking to bounce back with a big week. Here are the bets I’m putting my money (and my pride) on this week.
Browns -2 at Vikings
This game isn’t too complicated for me. The Vikings are a decent team who could push for the playoffs. The Browns are a great team who could push for the Super Bowl. I like Cleveland by more than a field goal regardless of where this game is played.
I expect Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins to struggle against the Browns pressure. Myles Garrett is the best defensive end in football and Cousins folds like a cheap tent when the heat is on. I project the Browns to win this game by double digits.
Chargers – 3 vs Raiders
Divisional games are always tough. Even with a strong 3-0 start, the Raiders should expect the most difficult game they’ve played this year. Especially considering that this Chargers team is probably the best team that they’ve played.
This Chargers defense has allowed 20 points to the Cowboys and 24 points to the Chiefs in consecutive weeks. If they can hold two of the best offenses in the NFL to those totals then I think Las Vegas will struggle to score.
Lions +130 moneyline at Bears
I didn’t expect to believe in the Lions this year, but here we are. Detroit is at the beginning of a rebuild and are one of the worst teams in the league. However, they have built a strong offensive and defensive line.
This could be an issue for a Bears team with a rookie quarterback who was sacked nine times in his debut last week. If you’re looking for an underdog pick this weekend then the Lions are a pick that I like.
Under 48 Washington vs Atlanta
These are two teams that I’m not totally sure what to make of at this point. I know I don’t trust Atlanta’s offense and I do like Washington’s defense on paper.
The Falcons have scored under 20 in two of the three games this year. The Football Team isn’t exactly an offensive juggernaut with a backup quarterback at the helm, held to 21 or less in two of the three games. Despite all that, the total in this game is set at 48; possibly because of the big names in this game such as Matt Ryan.
In a game like this where I could see either team failing to score 20, I feel good taking the under here.
Bucs -7 vs Patriots
Tom Brady is coming off a loss. He’s playing the only team he’s never beaten. Going against the coach that didn’t want him anymore. Are you willing to bet against that?
Beyond all the big storyline, the Patriots offense isn’t very good. They’re led by a rookie quarterback and he doesn’t have many playmakers to throw to. I expect New England to struggle and the Bucs to start a new 30+ point winning streak.
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